Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.026206 0.030444 0.035111 0.040627 0.046965 0.054013 0.062440
2025-11-23 0.019769 0.025262 0.031869 0.040382 0.051038 0.063915 0.080634
2025-11-30 0.016497 0.022875 0.031143 0.042603 0.058019 0.077984 0.105735
2025-12-07 0.013483 0.020102 0.029272 0.042822 0.062236 0.088931 0.128287
2025-12-14 0.010845 0.017268 0.026717 0.041509 0.063927 0.096442 0.146936
2025-12-21 0.009087 0.015358 0.025096 0.041148 0.066729 0.105631 0.168888
2025-12-28 0.008253 0.014710 0.025233 0.043395 0.073648 0.121611 0.202805
2026-01-04 0.007365 0.013802 0.024777 0.044548 0.078870 0.135420 0.234776
2026-01-11 0.006252 0.012302 0.023080 0.043319 0.079874 0.142373 0.256157
2026-01-18 0.005453 0.011232 0.021960 0.042898 0.082136 0.151558 0.282159
2026-01-25 0.004694 0.010107 0.020563 0.041743 0.082869 0.158051 0.303987
2026-02-01 0.004095 0.009200 0.019441 0.040934 0.084087 0.165450 0.328101
2026-02-08 0.003646 0.008543 0.018741 0.040903 0.086887 0.176252 0.360108
2026-02-15 0.003165 0.007735 0.017615 0.039848 0.087516 0.182972 0.385031
2026-02-22 0.002981 0.007569 0.017824 0.041632 0.094187 0.202271 0.436901
2026-03-01 0.002684 0.007083 0.017261 0.041648 0.097100 0.214259 0.475148
2026-03-08 0.002331 0.006401 0.016151 0.040275 0.096795 0.219498 0.499819
2026-03-15 0.002086 0.005946 0.015504 0.039879 0.098616 0.229422 0.535496
2026-03-22 0.002011 0.005925 0.015903 0.042037 0.106586 0.253578 0.604803
2026-03-29 0.001885 0.005745 0.015878 0.043144 0.112190 0.272995 0.665392
2026-04-05 0.001663 0.005256 0.014990 0.041946 0.112040 0.279222 0.696369
2026-04-12 0.001502 0.004913 0.014435 0.041535 0.113791 0.290051 0.739175
2026-04-19 0.001331 0.004510 0.013656 0.040415 0.113586 0.296162 0.771282